It is not enough to forecast what might happen.  It is critically essential that you be able to quantify the accuracy of your forecast.  This takes a sophisticated mathematically based theory of organization and human behavior.  I will present such a theory in the next Section.  I know of no other way to develop the ability to forecast and determine the accuracy of your forecasts.  The mathematics is unavoidable. 

If you do not have the mathematical background then you will need to develop it or rely on others to do the forecasting.  It is quite possible to engage in the development of a model, simulation, and forecast even without the mathematics experience.  Building the models and simulations, I describe in the last Section, require not only the theory and the mathematics ability they also require extensive domain knowledge of the specific subject area.  For the larger models the domain knowledge must be supplied by many individuals.  The ability to coordinate and translate the large quantity of domain knowledge for use in a model does not require a mathematics background. 

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