With the requirement
that outcomes be measurable, we immediately imply that the theory should
be stated in mathematical terms. Although I will state no primary
requirement that the theory be mathematical, I am strongly biased in
that direction. In part this is a natural result of being educated as a
physicist. But, I think more importantly because I repeatedly
experience what I call the fuzzy nature of linguistic explanations of
cause and effect.
In my role as a
technology project manager and business consultant I frequently
encounter fuzzy linguistic thinking. Weinberg puts it very well in the
following quote which I already used in Section 1 when talking about the
fuzzy nature of language.
My computer experiences have made me aware that people often
have but a foggy idea of what they are saying. Through translating
thoughts into computer programs, I have learned many fog clearing
techniques. These techniques would have been impossible without the
knowledge gained from computing, which is why so few of them are
understood by older scientists ‑ and systems theorists.
‑ Gerald Weinberg [1975, xii]
I have in mind that the
theory will be explicit in such a way that it can be translated into
computer based simulations.
Whenever I encounter a bit of fog I have developed the habit of saying
the opposite and checking to see if it makes as much sense. One can do
this very easily with homilies. “There is no place like home,” to which
I would reply “The grass is greener on the other side of the fence.”
Both are equally true or untrue, i.e. they say nothing. I can give a
real world example from just yesterday. I attended a presentation by a
VP of one of the most prodigious global consulting firms. He was
advocating the need for organizations to develop a master IT strategic
plan to implement Service Oriented Architecture that tightly couple
technology approaches within large organizations for consistency and
interoperability.. To which I reply with the opposite by saying that
large organizations must loosely couple its various IT subsystems to
allow for innovation and technological advancement. Doing this allows
incremental and independent improvement of largely independent
subsystems. The ability to communicate between these subsystems has
already been solved. In my opinion neither is concrete, specific, nor
actionable. They are no better than homilies.
A
survey of the literature on various theories of society and management
provides a very rich source of the nature of the problem of
understanding organization behavior. However the vast majority of the
explanatory style falls into something little better than fuzzy
linguistic homily.
It is
my intent to significantly diverge from prior linguistic based
approaches. The Theory of Society must be stated in either the language
of mathematics of in an algorithmic form that can be implemented in a
computer program. I am aware that many will feel this is a too
restrictive conceptual box. I will not argue the point. I will let the
results speak for themselves.
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