Highly Complex Systems  by Wayne M. Angel, Ph.D.

About This Site - Description of Contents








F















 

Home

The Quest - A Preface

About This Site
    The It-Ainít-So Problem
    Optimal Achievement
    Description of Content
    About Your Organization
    Hypertext Textbook and Printing
    Links to Your Web Site
    Under Construction Notice
   
The Discussion Forum
    About the Author
    Bibliography


Optimal Leadership

The Theory of Society

Organization Simulations

SignPost Technologies
                    & Services


Utopian Dreams

The Android Project

 
Discussion Forum
Author Biography
Contact Me

 

This material is divided into six parts:
  • Optimal Leadership

  • The Theory of Society

  • Organization Simulations

  • SignPost Technologies

  • Utopian Dreams

  • The Android Project

The characteristics of the optimal leadership are based on the theory of society and a series of computer simulations.  The simulations are based on the theory of society.   The theory of society is the foundation upon which the other sections rest.  However, each section can be read and understood independently.   

The part on Optimal Leadership does not require a mathematical background to understand.  It is accessible to a wide audience.  The Theory of Society is unavoidably mathematical I have described it in such a way that I believe much of it can be understood while skipping over the mathematics.  Understanding the computer based simulations does not require a comprehension of the mathematical nature of the theory; however it does require a general understanding of the theory structure.  For those of you who you are not interested in the mathematics but are interested in the ability to simulate complex organization behavior and thereby gain a forecasting ability, I ask you to wade through the theory and acquire the gist of the theory structure.

Optimal Leadership: I identify the 5 critical factors that passed my simulation test of "what matters most" in optimal organization achievement.  I also identify some of the potential factors that did not past the simulation test.  I also discuss things that can prevent the effective implementation of the 5 critical factors and that can trigger organization failure.  I then discuss what one must do to put an organization on the path of optimal achievement.  The final chapter of this section discusses the personal optimal behavior required to be an effective change agent. 

The Theory of Society: In this part I present an integrated theory of human behavior and society.  It covers such topics as relation dynamics, relation thermodynamics, memetics, human behavior, mimetics, operations analysis, simulation, forecasting, and verification.  Without the ability to forecast one cannot plan.  It is not good enough to just forecast.  One must also identify the accuracy of the forecast.  I show how to construct measures of the current state of a complex human system and determine the probabilistic future value of those measures as a consequence of alternative actions.

Organization Simulation: These are some of the organization simulations I have created. 

SignPost Technologies: This part describes the tools, techniques, and services available for applying the theory to specific organization goals and problems.

Utopian Dreams: This is a full society simulation constructed to search for an optimal structure and course of action.  It is intended to increase our long term prospects.

The Android Project: In the Theory of Society a critical component is a theory of Human Decision Making.  The best way to understand something or confirm one's understanding is to build that something.  Other than through the biological process, we do not know how to build a human decision maker.  Therefore, I have employed a trick I have often used in developing leading edge technological capability.  I know I cannot build a human decision maker, but if I could, "How would I do so?"  The result was a surprise.

I have sequenced this web site to begin with a description of an outcome from the Theory, i.e. "Optimal Leadership."  Some readers may prefer to start with the Theory of Society.  I have not written the text in that sequence, because I believe those of us who would naturally prefer to start there are in the minority.  I have tried to make it possible to read these six parts in any sequence.

Á  Prior Page of Text     Next Page of Text Ť
(C) 2005-2014 Wayne M. Angel.  All rights reserved.