This material is divided into six parts:
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Optimal Leadership
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The Theory of Society
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Organization Simulations
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SignPost Technologies
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Utopian Dreams
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The Android Project
The characteristics of the optimal
leadership are based on the theory of society and a
series of computer simulations. The simulations are based on the theory
of society. The theory of society is the foundation upon which the
other sections rest. However, each section can be read and understood
independently.
The part on Optimal
Leadership does not require a mathematical background to understand. It
is accessible to a wide audience. The Theory of Society is unavoidably
mathematical I have described it in such a way that I believe much of it
can be understood while skipping over the mathematics. Understanding
the computer based simulations does not require a comprehension of the
mathematical nature of the theory; however it does require a general
understanding of the theory structure. For those of you who you are not
interested in the mathematics but are interested in the ability to
simulate complex organization behavior and thereby gain a forecasting
ability, I ask you to wade through the theory and acquire the gist of
the theory structure.
Optimal Leadership:
I identify the 5 critical factors that passed my simulation test of
"what matters most" in optimal organization
achievement. I also identify some of the potential factors that did not
past the simulation test. I also discuss things that can
prevent the effective implementation of the 5 critical factors and that
can trigger organization failure. I then discuss what one
must do to put an organization on the path of optimal achievement. The
final chapter of this section discusses the personal optimal behavior
required to be an effective change agent.
The Theory of
Society: In this part I present an integrated theory of human
behavior and society. It covers such topics as relation dynamics,
relation thermodynamics, memetics, human behavior, mimetics, operations
analysis, simulation, forecasting, and verification. Without the
ability to forecast one cannot plan. It is not good enough to just
forecast. One must also identify the accuracy of the forecast. I show
how to construct measures of the current state of a complex human system
and determine the probabilistic future value of those measures as a
consequence of alternative actions.
Organization
Simulation: These are some of the organization simulations I
have created.
SignPost
Technologies: This part describes the tools, techniques, and
services available for applying the theory to specific organization
goals and problems.
Utopian Dreams: This is a full society simulation constructed to
search for an optimal structure and course of action. It is
intended to increase our long term prospects.
The Android Project:
In the Theory of Society a critical component is a theory of Human
Decision Making. The best way to understand something or confirm
one's understanding is to build that something. Other than through
the biological process, we do not know how to build a human decision
maker. Therefore, I have employed a trick I have often used in
developing leading edge technological capability. I know I cannot
build a human decision maker, but if I could, "How would I do so?"
The result was a surprise.
I have sequenced this
web site to begin with a description of an outcome from the Theory, i.e.
"Optimal Leadership." Some readers may prefer to start with the Theory
of Society. I have not written the text in that sequence, because I
believe those of us who would naturally prefer to start there are in the
minority. I have tried to make it possible to read these six parts in
any sequence.
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(C) 2005-2014 Wayne M. Angel.
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